Pending home sales count homes where a seller has accepted an offer but the deal has not yet closed. It is the fastest-moving gauge of housing demand: it tells you what happened a few weeks ago, while closed sales tell you what happened two months ago.
待完成销售量 —— 指卖家已经接受出价、但交
| Move变动 | Where it appeared出现位置 | What it means这句话在说什么 |
|---|---|---|
| 4% | US pending home sales fall to a 12-year low as mortgage rates top 7% 待完成销售量 —— 指卖家已经接受出价、但交 · 第 2 张术语卡 | Pending sales fell 4% from August and declined year on year in all 50 of the biggest metros — the earliest hard evidence that the rate rise has reached real buyers. 理解房地产数据要看「时间差」。链条是：看房 → 签约（pending）→ 交割（closed），中间通常 30 到 60 天。所以签约量是先行指标，成交量是后置指标。9 月的签约量下降，反映的是 9 月的利率；9 月的成交量下降，反映的其实是 7、8 月的利率。判断趋势拐点时先看签约量，判断当期利润（比如中介、按揭、装修、家具零售的收入）才看成交量。 |