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宏观与周期

Consumer price index

/kənˈsjuːmə praɪs ˈɪndeks/
消费者价格指数
macro 2 篇文章 更新于 2026-11-12 15:24 CEFR B2

01定义Definition

Official definition · 官方定义

“The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the aggregate price level in an economy.”[1]

— Corporate Finance Institute, CFI Resource Library · corporatefinanceinstitute.com ↗ · accessed 2026-10-25

The consumer price index tracks the cost of a fixed basket of goods and services that households buy. It is the most quoted measure of inflation, and it is used to index pensions, contracts and some taxes.

消费者价格指数追踪家庭购买的一篮子固定商品与服务的成本。它是最常被引用的通胀指标,也用来指数化养老金、合同与部分税收。

02它怎么运作How it works

STEP 01
Define the basket
先确定一篮子商品与权重。
STEP 02
Collect prices monthly
每月采集各地价格。
STEP 03
Weight and average
按支出权重加权平均。
STEP 04
Compare with a base year
与基期比较,得出指数与同比。

03为什么重要Why it matters

CPI matters twice: it is the inflation number the public feels, and it is the number that adjusts Social Security and many wage contracts. But it is not the Fed's target — the Fed uses PCE, which weights medical spending differently and substitutes goods when prices change. That is why CPI can run hotter than PCE for years without the Fed reacting.

CPI 有两重意义:它是公众感受到的通胀,也是调整社保和许多工资合同的依据。

但它不是美联储的目标——美联储用 PCE,后者对医疗支出的权重不同,且会在价格变化时允许替代。所以 CPI 可以多年高于 PCE,而美联储不因此行动。

04数字怎么看The numbers

Move变动Where it appeared出现位置What it means这句话在说什么
3.7%Wall Street slumps as hot inflation revives the Fed’s rate-hike fears
消费者价格指数 · 第 5 张术语卡
The CPI came in at 3.7% versus 3.6% expected; that single miss flipped rate-cut hopes into hike bets.
CPI 分『整体』与『核心』(剔除波动大的食品与能源)。市场既看同比(相对一年前)也看环比(相对上月)。本次 3.7% 为同比。
0.4%PepsiCo to raise some prices after cuts failed to grow sales
消费者价格指数 · 第 9 张术语卡
The article ends with it: US CPI rose 0.4% in August, which is why PepsiCo can describe its increase as only “aligned with inflation”.
读 CPI 有两个习惯:看环比还是同比(环比 +0.4% 听着小,年化约 5%,一点也不小);看食品细分项——零食、汽水属于「食品与非酒精饮料」,权重不低,也是最容易让普通人产生「东西变贵了」实感的部分。百事这类公司的涨价通知与 CPI 互为因果:CPI 里有它们,它们也拿 CPI 当说辞。

05常见误读Common misreadings

Looks like看着像

CPI is the cost of living

Actually其实是

It is one basket for an average household, not your basket.

「CPI 就是生活成本」——它是一篮子平均家庭的商品,不是你家那一篮。
Looks like看着像

Core CPI ignores food and energy because they do not matter

Actually其实是

Because they are volatile, not unimportant.

「核心 CPI 忽略食品能源是因为它们不重要」——是因为它们波动大,不是不重要。
Looks like看着像

CPI is the Fed's target

Actually其实是

The Fed targets PCE, currently 2%.

「CPI 是美联储的目标」——美联储盯的是 PCE,目标是 2%。

06语言笔记Language notes

Collocations固定搭配

· CPI rose 3.2% year on year
· core CPI
· the CPI basket
· seasonally adjusted
· shelter inflation

CPI rose 3.2% year on year CPI 同比上涨 3.2%;core CPI 核心 CPI;the CPI basket CPI 篮子;seasonally adjusted 季调;shelter inflation 住房通胀。

Don't confuse易混

· CPI vs PCE
· headline vs core

CPI 和 PCE 是两个指标,权重不同;headline 含食品能源,core 不含。

Sentence pattern句型

CPI rose X% from a year earlier, while core CPI came in at Y%.

数据句:CPI 同比上涨 X%,核心 CPI 为 Y%——while 引出两个口径的对比。

07一张图看懂One picture

What is actually in the basketShelterFoodTransportOtherShelter · 35Food · 14Transport · 17Medical · 8Other · 26Rough weights of the US CPI basket. Shelter alone is more than a third.
Shelter is the largest single weight, which is why housing inflation decides the headline for years at a time.
住房是权重最大的一项,所以住房通胀能决定整体读数好几年;看 CPI 先看住房。

08延伸阅读Further reading

09出现在这些文章里Appears in

10相关概念Related

11引用与出处References

  1. [1]Corporate Finance Institute. CFI Resource Library. corporatefinanceinstitute.com ↗accessed 2026-10-25 · 引用于「官方定义」第 1 句