The number that economists expect before a report is published.
预期
| Move变动 | Where it appeared出现位置 | What it means这句话在说什么 |
|---|---|---|
| — | Why strong hiring still feels weak 预期 · 第 2 张术语卡 | The forecast was 65,000; the actual figure was 165,000, a miss of 100,000. 「超预期」（beat the forecast）与「不及预期」（miss）是财经报道最常用的框架。但预期本身是中位数：路透这次收到的预测从 3.5 万到 12.5 万，差距极大，说明经济学家自己也没把握。读这类新闻，先看区间，再看中位数。 |