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宏观与周期

debt-to-GDP ratio

/det tə ˌdʒiː diː ˈpiː ˈreɪʃiəʊ/
「债务率」
macro 1 篇文章 更新于 2026-11-12 15:24 CEFR B2

01定义Definition

Total government debt divided by a year's economic output. It is the standard yardstick for whether a debt load is manageable, because the denominator caps how much a country can repay.

「债务率」

04数字怎么看The numbers

Move变动Where it appeared出现位置What it means这句话在说什么
122%France's risk premium overtakes Italy's as bond investors price a default
「债务率」 · 第 5 张术语卡
France's ratio is expected to climb to 122% next year from 119% — with GDP growing only about 0.5% and the debt stock at roughly €3.6 trillion.
只看比率不够,要看「分母」和「利率」两条腿。美国债务率 100%、日本超过 200%,都没有引爆危机——因为美国增长快,日本的债绝大部分由本国投资者持有、利率被央行压住。法国的问题是分母只增长 0.5%,而利息支出还在往上跳。

08延伸阅读Further reading

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