← 全部概念
宏观与周期

Deflation

macro 0 篇文章 更新于 2026-11-12 15:24 CEFR B2

01定义Definition

Official definition · 官方定义

“Deflation is a decrease in the general price level of goods and services.”[1]

— Corporate Finance Institute, CFI Resource Library · corporatefinanceinstitute.com ↗ · accessed 2026-10-25

Deflation is a sustained fall in the general price level. It sounds like a discount, but it usually comes with weak demand, falling wages and debts that grow heavier in real terms.

通缩是整体物价水平的持续下降。听起来像全场打折,但它通常伴随需求疲弱、工资下滑,以及实际负担越来越重的债务。

02它怎么运作How it works

STEP 01
Demand collapses
需求塌陷,企业降价清库存。
STEP 02
Buyers wait for lower prices
消费者等着更便宜,进一步压需求。
STEP 03
Wages and profits fall
工资和利润一起下滑。
STEP 04
Debt gets heavier
债务名义值不变,实际负担变重。

03为什么重要Why it matters

Deflation turns a normal recession into a trap. A company that owes $100m earns less each year while the debt stays at $100m, so it cuts costs, which pushes prices down again. Central banks cannot cut rates below roughly zero, so the usual tool stops working. Japan's lost decades and the 1930s both showed how long the loop can last.

通缩会把一次普通衰退变成陷阱:欠 1 亿美元的公司每年收入都在缩水,债务却还是 1 亿,只能继续削减成本,价格又被压低一轮。

央行降息有零下限,常规工具失效。日本失去的几十年和 1930 年代都证明了这个循环可以持续多久。

05常见误读Common misreadings

Looks like看着像

Falling prices

Actually其实是

One or two items falling is not deflation; it is the general level, sustained.

「价格在跌」——一两个品类降价不算通缩,要看整体价格水平是否持续下行。
Looks like看着像

Good for consumers

Actually其实是

Only if incomes hold. Usually wages fall too, and debt bites harder.

「对消费者是好事」——只有在收入撑得住时才是;通常工资也在跌,债务反而更重。
Looks like看着像

Same as disinflation

Actually其实是

Disinflation is a slower rise in prices; deflation is an actual fall.

「跟反通胀一样」——反通胀是涨得慢,通缩是实际在跌。

06语言笔记Language notes

Collocations固定搭配

· fall into deflation
· deflationary spiral
· price deflation
· fight deflation

fall into deflation 陷入通缩;deflationary spiral 通缩螺旋;price deflation 价格通缩;fight deflation 对抗通缩。

Don't confuse易混

· deflation vs disinflation
· deflation vs a one-off price cut

deflation 是持续下跌,disinflation 是涨幅收窄;一次性的降价促销不是通缩。

Sentence pattern句型

Prices fell X% from a year earlier, the first decline since Y.

价格句:价格同比下跌 X%,为 Y 年以来首次——「首次」往往比幅度更能说明性质。

07一张图看懂One picture

Why deflation is hard to escape9598.3102105Price levelDebt in real termsY0Y1Y2Y3Y4Prices fall 1% a year; a fixed nominal debt grows 1% a year in real terms.
Falling prices do not shrink the debt. They make every unit of it worth more.
价格下跌不会让债务变小,反而让每一块钱的债务更值钱;图里实际债务负担上升的那一段,就是通缩最伤人的地方。

08延伸阅读Further reading

09出现在这些文章里Appears in

10相关概念Related

11引用与出处References

  1. [1]Corporate Finance Institute. CFI Resource Library. corporatefinanceinstitute.com ↗accessed 2026-10-25 · 引用于「官方定义」第 1 句